Tsitsipas' clay-court ceiling gives him the edge over Arnaldi in round two

Roland-Garros' official order of play confirms Thursday's second-round match between Stefanos Tsitsipas and Matteo Arnaldi, and the matchup still points slightly more clearly toward Tsitsipas than the market sometimes does in these all-clay spots.

Arnaldi can defend well enough to extend rallies and he is capable of dragging opponents into awkward patterns, but Tsitsipas still brings the heavier first forehand and the more proven clay-court winning profile. In Paris, that matters because one good return game often needs to be backed up by several steady holds, and Tsitsipas usually has the cleaner tools for that sequence.

Arnaldi is not the kind of opponent to dismiss casually, especially if Tsitsipas lets his backhand side drift. Even so, the Greek's upside on clay is still the stronger one in a match like this. Around 1.67 with a promoted book, the outright win remains a fair play.